Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.971765 2.265458 2.590957 2.978980 3.429639 3.937378 4.553964
2025-05-18 1.513221 1.902346 2.376638 2.999647 3.800000 4.798358 6.145510
2025-05-25 1.215815 1.624778 2.156672 2.903732 3.933350 5.313184 7.320449
2025-06-01 1.054831 1.481236 2.065891 2.933442 4.200691 6.003576 8.797467
2025-06-08 0.949741 1.391902 2.026515 3.014400 4.532923 6.810384 10.544134
2025-06-15 0.847096 1.288572 1.948025 3.018728 4.740466 7.446829 12.113277
2025-06-22 0.745745 1.172295 1.832374 2.944998 4.807740 7.861932 13.373966
2025-06-29 0.665130 1.077506 1.736688 2.886854 4.885728 8.294428 14.714826
2025-07-06 0.596014 0.992629 1.645856 2.822677 4.940143 8.686023 16.030423
2025-07-13 0.567984 0.972587 1.659316 2.937120 5.318725 9.692359 18.627476
2025-07-20 0.521810 0.915886 1.602933 2.918869 5.450488 10.259230 20.456821
2025-07-27 0.491131 0.883105 1.584661 2.967137 5.711140 11.100400 22.961324
2025-08-03 0.449698 0.831989 1.537802 2.976457 5.940383 11.999396 25.944375
2025-08-10 0.412476 0.785656 1.496891 2.997815 6.211292 13.059028 29.572412
2025-08-17 0.367258 0.717883 1.405351 2.901971 6.219119 13.558308 32.024562
2025-08-24 0.340864 0.683946 1.376204 2.931662 6.503188 14.715294 36.302393
2025-08-31 0.322223 0.663342 1.371330 3.012567 6.915361 16.239813 41.849355
2025-09-07 0.298875 0.629889 1.334904 3.016892 7.148163 17.376019 46.640147
2025-09-14 0.271919 0.585416 1.269007 2.943210 7.179080 18.014691 50.212930
2025-09-21 0.249123 0.547484 1.213041 2.885104 7.239504 18.740494 54.210242
2025-09-28 0.228343 0.511747 1.157816 2.820968 7.274009 19.404086 58.186009
2025-10-05 0.221069 0.506363 1.172673 2.935336 7.804084 21.535697 67.265664
2025-10-12 0.206310 0.481595 1.138214 2.917098 7.966585 22.650237 73.346543